Abstract
As a core policy instrument for low-carbon
transition in China's power systems, the mechanism through which renewable
energy subsidies mitigate indirect carbon emissions remains underexplored. This
study empirically examines the impact of renewable energy generation subsidy
policies on indirect carbon emissions in power systems using panel data from 30
Chinese provinces (2011-2020). The findings reveal that: (1) Renewable energy
subsidies directly suppress indirect carbon emissions and reduce emissions indirectly
by curbing energy consumption. (2) Regional heterogeneity shows stronger
emission reduction effects in central and western China due to heavy industry
agglomeration and reliance on electricity transmission. (3) Electricity
consumption heterogeneity indicates significant emission reductions in
medium-to-high consumption areas constrained by rigid energy demand. Policy
recommendations include establishing a dynamic subsidy mechanism for
central/western China, implementing "energy storage-quota" differentiated
strategies for high/low consumption areas, and reorienting subsidies toward
technological innovations such as hydrogen energy and energy storage.
JEL classification numbers: P28.
Keywords: Renewable Energy, Subsidy Policy, Power Systems, Indirect
Carbon Emissions, Carbon Neutrality Goals.